{
"run_id": "20260531T223004.664084000Z",
"mode": "spec",
"started_at": "2026-05-31T22:28:51.567506+00:00",
"finished_at": "2026-05-31T22:30:04.663999+00:00",
"spec_path": "bin/eval/specs/apps/polymarket_search.json",
"passed": true,
"git_commit": "5b02660942391bc7ae86c5cbb05e33f4c549266f",
"git_dirty": true,
"story": {
"run_id": "20260531T223004.664084000Z",
"story_id": "polymarket_search",
"user_story": "Search Polymarket without trading.",
"passed": true,
"warnings": [
{
"label": "no_tool_errors",
"severity": "warning",
"detail": "tool error envelope(s) observed for: get_polymarket_details, get_polymarket_details",
"observed": {
"kind": "tool_errors",
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{
"turn": 0,
"tool": "get_polymarket_details",
"topic": "get_polymarket_details",
"content_preview": "{\n \"error\": {\n \"code\": \"tool_call_failed\",\n \"message\": \"Toolset error: ToolCallError: ToolCallError: plugin tool error: Failed to get market ethereum-etf: 404 Not Found - {\\\"type\\\":\\\"not found error\\\",\\\"error\\\":\\\"slug not found\\\"}\"\n }\n}"
},
{
"turn": 0,
"tool": "get_polymarket_details",
"topic": "get_polymarket_details",
"content_preview": "{\n \"error\": {\n \"code\": \"tool_call_failed\",\n \"message\": \"Toolset error: ToolCallError: ToolCallError: plugin tool error: Failed to get market what-price-will-ethereum-hit-before-2027: 404 Not Found - {\\\"type\\\":\\\"not found error\\\",\\\"error\\\":\\\"slug not found\\\"}\"\n }\n}"
}
]
}
},
{
"label": "max_tool_calls",
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"detail": "observed 11 tool call(s), max 4",
"observed": "{\"kind\":\"tool_budget\",\"scope\":\"story\",\"turn\":null,\"actual_tool_calls\":11,\"max_tool_calls\":4,\"exceeded\":true,\"tool_calls\":[{\"turn\":0,\"tool\":\"search_polymarket\",\"topic\":\"search_polymarket\",\"arguments\":{\"active\":true,\"archived\":false,\"closed\":false,\"limit\":50,\"offset\":0,\"tag\":\"crypto\"}},{\"turn\":0,\"tool\":\"search_polymarket\",\"topic\":\"search_polymarket\",\"arguments\":{\"active\":true,\"archived\":false,\"closed\":false,\"limit\":100,\"offset\":0,\"tag\":\"crypto\"}},{\"turn\":0,\"tool\":\"resolve_polymarket_trade_intent\",\"topic\":\"resolve_polymarket_trade_intent\",\"arguments\":{\"user_request\":\"Ethereum ETF\",\"candidate_limit\":20,\"search_market_limit\":500}},{\"turn\":0,\"tool\":\"brave_search\",\"topic\":\"Ethereum ETF Polymarket markets\",\"arguments\":{\"query\":\"Polymarket Ethereum ETF prediction market 2025 2026\",\"count\":10,\"offset\":0,\"lang\":\"en\",\"country\":\"US\",\"safesearch\":\"moderate\",\"freshness\":\"month\",\"topic\":\"Ethereum ETF Polymarket markets\"}},{\"turn\":0,\"tool\":\"search_polymarket\",\"topic\":\"search_polymarket\",\"arguments\":{\"a...ablecoins\"}},{\"turn\":0,\"tool\":\"get_polymarket_details\",\"topic\":\"get_polymarket_details\",\"arguments\":{\"market_id_or_slug\":\"ethereum-etf\"}},{\"turn\":0,\"tool\":\"get_polymarket_details\",\"topic\":\"get_polymarket_details\",\"arguments\":{\"market_id_or_slug\":\"what-price-will-ethereum-hit-before-2027\"}},{\"turn\":0,\"tool\":\"brave_search\",\"topic\":\"Ethereum ETF Polymarket market slugs\",\"arguments\":{\"query\":\"site:polymarket.com ethereum ETF 2026\",\"count\":10,\"offset\":0,\"lang\":\"en\",\"country\":\"US\",\"safesearch\":\"moderate\",\"freshness\":\"month\",\"topic\":\"Ethereum ETF Polymarket market slugs\"}},{\"turn\":0,\"tool\":\"get_polymarket_details\",\"topic\":\"get_polymarket_details\",\"arguments\":{\"market_id_or_slug\":\"ethereum-etf-flows-on-may-27\"}},{\"turn\":0,\"tool\":\"get_polymarket_details\",\"topic\":\"get_polymarket_details\",\"arguments\":{\"market_id_or_slug\":\"ethereum-etf-flows-on-june-1\"}},{\"turn\":0,\"tool\":\"get_polymarket_details\",\"topic\":\"get_polymarket_details\",\"arguments\":{\"market_id_or_slug\":\"ethereum-etf-flows-on-june-2\"}}]}"
}
],
"model": "claude-sonnet-4-6",
"chain_id": 1,
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},
"usage": {
"input_tokens": 235499,
"output_tokens": 2501,
"total_tokens": 238000,
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"visible_output_tokens": 2501,
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"tool_call_count": 11,
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"aomi_cost_credits": 22.167270000000002,
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"credits": 22.167270000000002
},
"transcript_previews": [
{
"sender": "user",
"content": "Search Polymarket for Ethereum ETF markets; don't place any trades.",
"tool": null,
"tool_topic": null,
"tool_result_preview": null
},
{
"sender": "assistant",
"content": "\nThe user wants to search Polymarket for Ethereum ETF markets. They don't want to place any trades, just browse/search. Let me use the search_polymarket function to find relevant markets.\n\nThe user wants to search Polymarket for Ethereum ETF markets. They don't want to place any trades, just browse/search. Let me use the search_polymarket function to find relevant markets.\n",
"tool": null,
"tool_topic": null,
"tool_result_preview": null
},
{
"sender": "assistant",
"content": "",
"tool": "search_polymarket",
"tool_topic": "search_polymarket",
"tool_result_preview": "{\n \"markets\": [\n {\n \"active\": true,\n \"category\": null,\n \"closed\": false,\n \"end_date\": \"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z\",\n \"id\": \"540817\",\n \"liquidity\": 19080.9616,\n \"outcome_prices\": [\n \"0.52\",\n \"0.48\"\n ],\n \"outcomes\": [\n \"Yes\",\n \"No\"\n ],\n \"question\": \"New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?\",\n \"slug\": \"new-rhianna-album-bef... \"liquidity\": 10306521.57945,\n \"outcome_prices\": [\n \"0.0015\",\n \"0.9985\"\n ],\n \"outcomes\": [\n \"Yes\",\n \"No\"\n ],\n \"question\": \"Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?\",\n \"slug\": \"will-algeria-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup\",\n \"start_date\": \"2025-07-02T22:27:27.012Z\",\n \"volume\": 27408579.02521539\n }\n ],\n \"markets_count\": 50\n}"
},
{
"sender": "assistant",
"content": "",
"tool": "search_polymarket",
"tool_topic": "search_polymarket",
"tool_result_preview": "{\n \"markets\": [\n {\n \"active\": true,\n \"category\": null,\n \"closed\": false,\n \"end_date\": \"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z\",\n \"id\": \"540817\",\n \"liquidity\": 19080.9616,\n \"outcome_prices\": [\n \"0.52\",\n \"0.48\"\n ],\n \"outcomes\": [\n \"Yes\",\n \"No\"\n ],\n \"question\": \"New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?\",\n \"slug\": \"new-rhianna-album-bef...[\n \"0.0095\",\n \"0.9905\"\n ],\n \"outcomes\": [\n \"Yes\",\n \"No\"\n ],\n \"question\": \"Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?\",\n \"slug\": \"will-chelsea-clinton-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination\",\n \"start_date\": \"2025-07-11T18:36:30.713Z\",\n \"volume\": 49094886.36304352\n }\n ],\n \"markets_count\": 100\n}"
},
{
"sender": "assistant",
"content": "\nThe search results from the \"crypto\" tag didn't return any Ethereum ETF markets. The results are dominated by FIFA World Cup, 2028 Democratic nomination, and GTA VI markets. I need to search more specifically for Ethereum ETF markets. Let me try a more targeted search using different terms.\n\nThe search results from the \"crypto\" tag didn't return any Ethereum ETF markets. The results are dominated by FIFA World Cup, 2028 Democratic nomination, and GTA VI markets. I need to search more specifically for Ethereum ETF markets. Let me try a more targeted search using different terms.\n\n\nThe crypto tag search didn't surface ETF-specific markets. Let me search more directly.",
"tool": null,
"tool_topic": null,
"tool_result_preview": null
},
{
"sender": "assistant",
"content": "",
"tool": "resolve_polymarket_trade_intent",
"tool_topic": "resolve_polymarket_trade_intent",
"tool_result_preview": "{\n \"candidate_count\": 0,\n \"candidates\": [],\n \"next_step_hint\": \"Reply with candidate_id and outcome (YES/NO), e.g. 'C2 YES'.\",\n \"parsed_intent\": {\n \"action\": null,\n \"outcome\": null,\n \"search_query\": \"ethereum etf\",\n \"size_usd\": null,\n \"year\": null\n },\n \"recommended_candidate_id\": null,\n \"requires_selection\": true,\n \"selection_reason\": \"No relevant active Polymarket markets found for this request.\",\n \"user_request\": \"Ethereum ETF\"\n}"
},
{
"sender": "assistant",
"content": "\nThe search results from the crypto tag didn't return any Ethereum ETF markets, and the resolve_polymarket_trade_intent also returned no candidates. The tag-based search returned mostly FIFA World Cup, GTA VI, and political markets. Let me try a more targeted search approach - I should search with different tags or try a broader search to find Ethereum ETF specific markets.\n\nLet me try searching w...ort text search, only tag filtering. So I need to either:\n1. Try different tags\n2. Use brave_search to find specific market slugs\n3. Try get_polymarket_details with guessed slugs\n\nLet me try brave_search to find Ethereum ETF markets on Polymarket.\nThe tag-based search and intent resolver both came up empty. Let me try a direct web search to find specific Ethereum ETF market slugs on Polymarket.",
"tool": null,
"tool_topic": null,
"tool_result_preview": null
},
{
"sender": "assistant",
"content": "",
"tool": "brave_search",
"tool_topic": "Ethereum ETF Polymarket markets",
"tool_result_preview": "Found 10 results:\n\n1. Ethereum Predictions & Real-Time Odds | Polymarket\n URL: https://polymarket.com/predictions/ethereum\n Explore 20 live Ethereum prediction markets as of May 27, 2026. Track real-time odds and trade on The World's Largest Prediction Market™\n\n2. Crypto Odds & Predictions 2026 | Polymarket\n URL: https://polymarket.com/crypto\n September 30, 20...10. Crypto Odds & Predictions | Polymarket\n URL: https://polymarket.com/crypto/etf\n December 31, 2026 · 75%Yes75%No25% $3m Vol. USDT depeg in 2025? 2% chance · Yes · No · $1m Vol. XRP above ___ on November 29? 1.40 · 100%Yes100%No<1% 1.50 · 100%Yes100%No<1% Live · Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30? 1% chance · Yes · No · Live · Ethereum price on November 29?"
},
{
"sender": "assistant",
"content": "",
"tool": "search_polymarket",
"tool_topic": "search_polymarket",
"tool_result_preview": "{\n \"markets\": [\n {\n \"active\": true,\n \"category\": null,\n \"closed\": false,\n \"end_date\": \"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z\",\n \"id\": \"540817\",\n \"liquidity\": 19080.9616,\n \"outcome_prices\": [\n \"0.52\",\n \"0.48\"\n ],\n \"outcomes\": [\n \"Yes\",\n \"No\"\n ],\n \"question\": \"New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?\",\n \"slug\": \"new-rhianna-album-bef...[\n \"0.0095\",\n \"0.9905\"\n ],\n \"outcomes\": [\n \"Yes\",\n \"No\"\n ],\n \"question\": \"Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?\",\n \"slug\": \"will-chelsea-clinton-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination\",\n \"start_date\": \"2025-07-11T18:36:30.713Z\",\n \"volume\": 49094896.46304352\n }\n ],\n \"markets_count\": 100\n}"
},
{
"sender": "assistant",
"content": "",
"tool": "get_polymarket_details",
"tool_topic": "get_polymarket_details",
"tool_result_preview": "{\n \"error\": {\n \"code\": \"tool_call_failed\",\n \"message\": \"Toolset error: ToolCallError: ToolCallError: plugin tool error: Failed to get market ethereum-etf: 404 Not Found - {\\\"type\\\":\\\"not found error\\\",\\\"error\\\":\\\"slug not found\\\"}\"\n }\n}"
},
{
"sender": "assistant",
"content": "",
"tool": "get_polymarket_details",
"tool_topic": "get_polymarket_details",
"tool_result_preview": "{\n \"error\": {\n \"code\": \"tool_call_failed\",\n \"message\": \"Toolset error: ToolCallError: ToolCallError: plugin tool error: Failed to get market what-price-will-ethereum-hit-before-2027: 404 Not Found - {\\\"type\\\":\\\"not found error\\\",\\\"error\\\":\\\"slug not found\\\"}\"\n }\n}"
},
{
"sender": "assistant",
"content": "\nThe user wants me to search for Ethereum ETF markets on Polymarket. I've been doing multiple searches but haven't found any specific ETF markets. Let me try a few more specific slugs that might exist on Polymarket for Ethereum ETF markets, and also try searching by different approaches.\n\nFrom the Brave search results, I can see there's a Polymarket ETF page at `polymarket.com/crypto/etf` which me... which shows some ETF-related content. Let me search for more specific Ethereum ETF market slugs.\n\nGiven that Ethereum spot ETFs were approved in the US in May 2024 and started trading in July 2024, the most relevant current markets would likely be about ETF flows, AUM milestones, or staking features being added to ETFs.\n\nLet me try some specific slugs and also do a more targeted brave search.\n",
"tool": null,
"tool_topic": null,
"tool_result_preview": null
},
{
"sender": "assistant",
"content": "",
"tool": "brave_search",
"tool_topic": "Ethereum ETF Polymarket market slugs",
"tool_result_preview": "Found 10 results:\n\n1. Ethereum ETF Flows on February 26? Trading Odds & Predictions (Feb. 26, 2026) | Polymarket\n URL: https://polymarket.com/event/ethereum-etf-flows-on-february-26\n The "Ethereum ETF Flows on February 26?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Feb 26, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new informat...ing Odds & Predictions (Feb. 4, 2026) | Polymarket\n URL: https://polymarket.com/event/ethereum-etf-flows-on-february-4\n Propose resolutionThis market will resolve to "Positive" if total Ethereum ETF flows on Wednesday, February 4, 2026 are greater than 0, and to "Negative" if they are less than 0. If flows are exactly 0, the market will resolve to 50-50."
},
{
"sender": "assistant",
"content": "\nThe user wants to search for Ethereum ETF markets on Polymarket. I've been doing research and found some relevant slugs from the web search. Let me now try to fetch details on some of the active Ethereum ETF flow markets. The most relevant ones seem to be the daily \"Ethereum ETF Flows\" markets. Let me try to get details on a few of the upcoming/active ones.\n\nFrom the search results, I can see slu...e.\n\nActually, let me try to get the ETF predictions page details or search for more recent ones. Let me try fetching some specific slugs that might be active after June 1, 2026.\n\nLet me try:\n- `ethereum-etf-flows-on-june-1` or similar\n- Also try the general ETF page\n\nActually, I should just try to fetch a few of these and see what comes back. Let me try some slugs for dates after June 1, 2026.\n",
"tool": null,
"tool_topic": null,
"tool_result_preview": null
},
{
"sender": "assistant",
"content": "",
"tool": "get_polymarket_details",
"tool_topic": "get_polymarket_details",
"tool_result_preview": "{\n \"active\": true,\n \"archived\": false,\n \"category\": null,\n \"closed\": true,\n \"condition_id\": \"0xf2cddbf207d69b5e6b73fa8e066fca254ba7890c8b6b0d35212065dc219b5307\",\n \"description\": \"This market will resolve to \\\"Positive\\\" if total Ethereum ETF flows on Wednesday, May 27, 2026 are greater than 0, and to \\\"Negative\\\" if they are less than 0.\\n\\nIf flows are exactly 0, the market will resolve to ...ces\": [\n \"0\",\n \"1\"\n ],\n \"outcomes\": [\n \"Positive\",\n \"Negative\"\n ],\n \"question\": \"Ethereum ETF Flows on May 27?\",\n \"slug\": \"ethereum-etf-flows-on-may-27\",\n \"start_date\": \"2026-05-22T12:33:10.527478Z\",\n \"tokens\": null,\n \"volume\": \"13.639510999999999\",\n \"volume_num\": 13.639511,\n \"yes_token_id\": \"103806263587235234876651937019758409405840132964538099876224164676825339324012\"\n}"
},
{
"sender": "assistant",
"content": "",
"tool": "get_polymarket_details",
"tool_topic": "get_polymarket_details",
"tool_result_preview": "{\n \"active\": true,\n \"archived\": false,\n \"category\": null,\n \"closed\": false,\n \"condition_id\": \"0xdb89d93294a07e16840cfa3102600c46127953e4685dd5cd0a8637ec7e9cc580\",\n \"description\": \"This market will resolve to \\\"Positive\\\" if total Ethereum ETF flows on Monday, June 1, 2026 are greater than 0, and to \\\"Negative\\\" if they are less than 0.\\n\\nIf flows are exactly 0, the market will resolve to 50... \"outcome_prices\": [\n \"0.495\",\n \"0.505\"\n ],\n \"outcomes\": [\n \"Positive\",\n \"Negative\"\n ],\n \"question\": \"Ethereum ETF Flows on June 1?\",\n \"slug\": \"ethereum-etf-flows-on-june-1\",\n \"start_date\": \"2026-05-28T12:05:13.231488Z\",\n \"tokens\": null,\n \"volume\": null,\n \"volume_num\": null,\n \"yes_token_id\": \"65662970294170991505642853290664660215734470265388504766616903924220595356784\"\n}"
},
{
"sender": "assistant",
"content": "",
"tool": "get_polymarket_details",
"tool_topic": "get_polymarket_details",
"tool_result_preview": "{\n \"active\": true,\n \"archived\": false,\n \"category\": null,\n \"closed\": false,\n \"condition_id\": \"0x6e47d4e68a5aeea9358ebc4bde5c835f2f45a8346a073da899868e7b4b77cda5\",\n \"description\": \"This market will resolve to \\\"Positive\\\" if total Ethereum ETF flows on Tuesday, June 2, 2026 are greater than 0, and to \\\"Negative\\\" if they are less than 0.\\n\\nIf flows are exactly 0, the market will resolve to 5...2\",\n \"outcome_prices\": [\n \"0.5\",\n \"0.5\"\n ],\n \"outcomes\": [\n \"Positive\",\n \"Negative\"\n ],\n \"question\": \"Ethereum ETF Flows on June 2?\",\n \"slug\": \"ethereum-etf-flows-on-june-2\",\n \"start_date\": \"2026-05-29T12:02:49.994008Z\",\n \"tokens\": null,\n \"volume\": null,\n \"volume_num\": null,\n \"yes_token_id\": \"57076592266380249048632948510503642976679812569549238988618136187892789114756\"\n}"
},
{
"sender": "assistant",
"content": "\nThe user asked me to search Polymarket for Ethereum ETF markets. I've now gathered enough data through multiple searches. Let me compile the findings into a clear summary.\n\nFrom my research, I found:\n\n1. **Daily ETF Flow markets** - These are the main active Ethereum ETF markets on Polymarket. They resolve to \"Positive\" or \"Negative\" based on whether total Ethereum ETF flows for a given day are p...y.\n- The June 1 market (today) is sitting nearly 50/50, slightly leaning Negative at 50.5%.\n- There's a long series of these daily markets going back through early 2026 — they appear to be auto-generated on a rolling basis.\n\nIf you're looking for higher-liquidity ETH-related markets, the price prediction markets (e.g. \"What price will ETH hit in 2026?\") have significantly more volume and depth.",
"tool": null,
"tool_topic": null,
"tool_result_preview": null
}
],
"tool_previews": [
{
"turn": 0,
"tool": "search_polymarket",
"topic": "search_polymarket",
"arguments": {
"active": true,
"archived": false,
"closed": false,
"limit": 50,
"offset": 0,
"tag": "crypto"
},
"result_preview": "{\n \"markets\": [\n {\n \"active\": true,\n \"category\": null,\n \"closed\": false,\n \"end_date\": \"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z\",\n \"id\": \"540817\",\n \"liquidity\": 19080.9616,\n \"outcome_prices\": [\n \"0.52\",\n \"0.48\"\n ],\n \"outcomes\": [\n \"Yes\",\n \"No\"\n ],\n \"question\": \"New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?\",\n \"slug\": \"new-rhianna-album-bef... \"liquidity\": 10306521.57945,\n \"outcome_prices\": [\n \"0.0015\",\n \"0.9985\"\n ],\n \"outcomes\": [\n \"Yes\",\n \"No\"\n ],\n \"question\": \"Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?\",\n \"slug\": \"will-algeria-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup\",\n \"start_date\": \"2025-07-02T22:27:27.012Z\",\n \"volume\": 27408579.02521539\n }\n ],\n \"markets_count\": 50\n}"
},
{
"turn": 0,
"tool": "search_polymarket",
"topic": "search_polymarket",
"arguments": {
"active": true,
"archived": false,
"closed": false,
"limit": 100,
"offset": 0,
"tag": "crypto"
},
"result_preview": "{\n \"markets\": [\n {\n \"active\": true,\n \"category\": null,\n \"closed\": false,\n \"end_date\": \"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z\",\n \"id\": \"540817\",\n \"liquidity\": 19080.9616,\n \"outcome_prices\": [\n \"0.52\",\n \"0.48\"\n ],\n \"outcomes\": [\n \"Yes\",\n \"No\"\n ],\n \"question\": \"New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?\",\n \"slug\": \"new-rhianna-album-bef...[\n \"0.0095\",\n \"0.9905\"\n ],\n \"outcomes\": [\n \"Yes\",\n \"No\"\n ],\n \"question\": \"Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?\",\n \"slug\": \"will-chelsea-clinton-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination\",\n \"start_date\": \"2025-07-11T18:36:30.713Z\",\n \"volume\": 49094886.36304352\n }\n ],\n \"markets_count\": 100\n}"
},
{
"turn": 0,
"tool": "resolve_polymarket_trade_intent",
"topic": "resolve_polymarket_trade_intent",
"arguments": {
"user_request": "Ethereum ETF",
"candidate_limit": 20,
"search_market_limit": 500
},
"result_preview": "{\n \"candidate_count\": 0,\n \"candidates\": [],\n \"next_step_hint\": \"Reply with candidate_id and outcome (YES/NO), e.g. 'C2 YES'.\",\n \"parsed_intent\": {\n \"action\": null,\n \"outcome\": null,\n \"search_query\": \"ethereum etf\",\n \"size_usd\": null,\n \"year\": null\n },\n \"recommended_candidate_id\": null,\n \"requires_selection\": true,\n \"selection_reason\": \"No relevant active Polymarket markets found for this request.\",\n \"user_request\": \"Ethereum ETF\"\n}"
},
{
"turn": 0,
"tool": "brave_search",
"topic": "Ethereum ETF Polymarket markets",
"arguments": {
"query": "Polymarket Ethereum ETF prediction market 2025 2026",
"count": 10,
"offset": 0,
"lang": "en",
"country": "US",
"safesearch": "moderate",
"freshness": "month",
"topic": "Ethereum ETF Polymarket markets"
},
"result_preview": "Found 10 results:\n\n1. Ethereum Predictions & Real-Time Odds | Polymarket\n URL: https://polymarket.com/predictions/ethereum\n Explore 20 live Ethereum prediction markets as of May 27, 2026. Track real-time odds and trade on The World's Largest Prediction Market™\n\n2. Crypto Odds & Predictions 2026 | Polymarket\n URL: https://polymarket.com/crypto\n September 30, 20...10. Crypto Odds & Predictions | Polymarket\n URL: https://polymarket.com/crypto/etf\n December 31, 2026 · 75%Yes75%No25% $3m Vol. USDT depeg in 2025? 2% chance · Yes · No · $1m Vol. XRP above ___ on November 29? 1.40 · 100%Yes100%No<1% 1.50 · 100%Yes100%No<1% Live · Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30? 1% chance · Yes · No · Live · Ethereum price on November 29?"
},
{
"turn": 0,
"tool": "search_polymarket",
"topic": "search_polymarket",
"arguments": {
"active": true,
"archived": false,
"closed": false,
"limit": 100,
"offset": 0,
"tag": "Stablecoins"
},
"result_preview": "{\n \"markets\": [\n {\n \"active\": true,\n \"category\": null,\n \"closed\": false,\n \"end_date\": \"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z\",\n \"id\": \"540817\",\n \"liquidity\": 19080.9616,\n \"outcome_prices\": [\n \"0.52\",\n \"0.48\"\n ],\n \"outcomes\": [\n \"Yes\",\n \"No\"\n ],\n \"question\": \"New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?\",\n \"slug\": \"new-rhianna-album-bef...[\n \"0.0095\",\n \"0.9905\"\n ],\n \"outcomes\": [\n \"Yes\",\n \"No\"\n ],\n \"question\": \"Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?\",\n \"slug\": \"will-chelsea-clinton-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination\",\n \"start_date\": \"2025-07-11T18:36:30.713Z\",\n \"volume\": 49094896.46304352\n }\n ],\n \"markets_count\": 100\n}"
},
{
"turn": 0,
"tool": "get_polymarket_details",
"topic": "get_polymarket_details",
"arguments": {
"market_id_or_slug": "ethereum-etf"
},
"result_preview": "{\n \"error\": {\n \"code\": \"tool_call_failed\",\n \"message\": \"Toolset error: ToolCallError: ToolCallError: plugin tool error: Failed to get market ethereum-etf: 404 Not Found - {\\\"type\\\":\\\"not found error\\\",\\\"error\\\":\\\"slug not found\\\"}\"\n }\n}"
},
{
"turn": 0,
"tool": "get_polymarket_details",
"topic": "get_polymarket_details",
"arguments": {
"market_id_or_slug": "what-price-will-ethereum-hit-before-2027"
},
"result_preview": "{\n \"error\": {\n \"code\": \"tool_call_failed\",\n \"message\": \"Toolset error: ToolCallError: ToolCallError: plugin tool error: Failed to get market what-price-will-ethereum-hit-before-2027: 404 Not Found - {\\\"type\\\":\\\"not found error\\\",\\\"error\\\":\\\"slug not found\\\"}\"\n }\n}"
},
{
"turn": 0,
"tool": "brave_search",
"topic": "Ethereum ETF Polymarket market slugs",
"arguments": {
"query": "site:polymarket.com ethereum ETF 2026",
"count": 10,
"offset": 0,
"lang": "en",
"country": "US",
"safesearch": "moderate",
"freshness": "month",
"topic": "Ethereum ETF Polymarket market slugs"
},
"result_preview": "Found 10 results:\n\n1. Ethereum ETF Flows on February 26? Trading Odds & Predictions (Feb. 26, 2026) | Polymarket\n URL: https://polymarket.com/event/ethereum-etf-flows-on-february-26\n The "Ethereum ETF Flows on February 26?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Feb 26, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new informat...ing Odds & Predictions (Feb. 4, 2026) | Polymarket\n URL: https://polymarket.com/event/ethereum-etf-flows-on-february-4\n Propose resolutionThis market will resolve to "Positive" if total Ethereum ETF flows on Wednesday, February 4, 2026 are greater than 0, and to "Negative" if they are less than 0. If flows are exactly 0, the market will resolve to 50-50."
},
{
"turn": 0,
"tool": "get_polymarket_details",
"topic": "get_polymarket_details",
"arguments": {
"market_id_or_slug": "ethereum-etf-flows-on-may-27"
},
"result_preview": "{\n \"active\": true,\n \"archived\": false,\n \"category\": null,\n \"closed\": true,\n \"condition_id\": \"0xf2cddbf207d69b5e6b73fa8e066fca254ba7890c8b6b0d35212065dc219b5307\",\n \"description\": \"This market will resolve to \\\"Positive\\\" if total Ethereum ETF flows on Wednesday, May 27, 2026 are greater than 0, and to \\\"Negative\\\" if they are less than 0.\\n\\nIf flows are exactly 0, the market will resolve to ...ces\": [\n \"0\",\n \"1\"\n ],\n \"outcomes\": [\n \"Positive\",\n \"Negative\"\n ],\n \"question\": \"Ethereum ETF Flows on May 27?\",\n \"slug\": \"ethereum-etf-flows-on-may-27\",\n \"start_date\": \"2026-05-22T12:33:10.527478Z\",\n \"tokens\": null,\n \"volume\": \"13.639510999999999\",\n \"volume_num\": 13.639511,\n \"yes_token_id\": \"103806263587235234876651937019758409405840132964538099876224164676825339324012\"\n}"
},
{
"turn": 0,
"tool": "get_polymarket_details",
"topic": "get_polymarket_details",
"arguments": {
"market_id_or_slug": "ethereum-etf-flows-on-june-1"
},
"result_preview": "{\n \"active\": true,\n \"archived\": false,\n \"category\": null,\n \"closed\": false,\n \"condition_id\": \"0xdb89d93294a07e16840cfa3102600c46127953e4685dd5cd0a8637ec7e9cc580\",\n \"description\": \"This market will resolve to \\\"Positive\\\" if total Ethereum ETF flows on Monday, June 1, 2026 are greater than 0, and to \\\"Negative\\\" if they are less than 0.\\n\\nIf flows are exactly 0, the market will resolve to 50... \"outcome_prices\": [\n \"0.495\",\n \"0.505\"\n ],\n \"outcomes\": [\n \"Positive\",\n \"Negative\"\n ],\n \"question\": \"Ethereum ETF Flows on June 1?\",\n \"slug\": \"ethereum-etf-flows-on-june-1\",\n \"start_date\": \"2026-05-28T12:05:13.231488Z\",\n \"tokens\": null,\n \"volume\": null,\n \"volume_num\": null,\n \"yes_token_id\": \"65662970294170991505642853290664660215734470265388504766616903924220595356784\"\n}"
},
{
"turn": 0,
"tool": "get_polymarket_details",
"topic": "get_polymarket_details",
"arguments": {
"market_id_or_slug": "ethereum-etf-flows-on-june-2"
},
"result_preview": "{\n \"active\": true,\n \"archived\": false,\n \"category\": null,\n \"closed\": false,\n \"condition_id\": \"0x6e47d4e68a5aeea9358ebc4bde5c835f2f45a8346a073da899868e7b4b77cda5\",\n \"description\": \"This market will resolve to \\\"Positive\\\" if total Ethereum ETF flows on Tuesday, June 2, 2026 are greater than 0, and to \\\"Negative\\\" if they are less than 0.\\n\\nIf flows are exactly 0, the market will resolve to 5...2\",\n \"outcome_prices\": [\n \"0.5\",\n \"0.5\"\n ],\n \"outcomes\": [\n \"Positive\",\n \"Negative\"\n ],\n \"question\": \"Ethereum ETF Flows on June 2?\",\n \"slug\": \"ethereum-etf-flows-on-june-2\",\n \"start_date\": \"2026-05-29T12:02:49.994008Z\",\n \"tokens\": null,\n \"volume\": null,\n \"volume_num\": null,\n \"yes_token_id\": \"57076592266380249048632948510503642976679812569549238988618136187892789114756\"\n}"
}
],
"failure_category": null,
"app": {
"source": "path",
"path": "bin/eval/specs/apps/../../../../plugins/polymarket.dylib",
"loaded_name": "polymarket"
},
"skills": {
"mode": "disabled",
"allowed": [],
"activated_skills": [],
"bundle_path": null,
"bundle_revision": null
},
"environment": {
"chain_id": 1,
"network": "ethereum",
"providers_path": "/Users/aronmegyeri/.aomi/test-env/providers.toml",
"endpoint_name": "sim-ethereum",
"funding_ledger": [
{
"chain_id": 1,
"address": "0xf39fd6e51aad88f6f4ce6ab8827279cfffb92266",
"balances": {
"ETH": "100",
"USDC": "10000"
}
},
{
"chain_id": 1,
"address": "0x70997970c51812dc3a010c7d01b50e0d17dc79c8",
"balances": {
"ETH": "100",
"USDC": "10000"
}
}
]
}
}
}