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        "content": "Search Manifold for AI markets; don't place a bet.",
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        "tool": "search_markets",
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        "tool_result_preview": "{\n  \"markets\": [\n    {\n      \"closeTime\": 1830412740000,\n      \"createdTime\": 1676933242898,\n      \"id\": \"A319ydGB1B7f4PMOROL3\",\n      \"isResolved\": false,\n      \"probability\": 0.3299999999999998,\n      \"question\": \"In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?\",\n      \"url\": \"https://manifold.markets/ScottAlexander/in-2028-will-an-ai-be-able-to-gener\",\n     ...    \"createdTime\": 1776564876031,\n      \"id\": \"gOlddESzER\",\n      \"isResolved\": false,\n      \"probability\": 0.2432609503113512,\n      \"question\": \"Major company suffers serious damage from AI agent in 2026?\",\n      \"url\": \"https://manifold.markets/A/major-company-suffers-serious-damag\",\n      \"volume\": 5448.82845392448\n    }\n  ],\n  \"query\": \"AI\",\n  \"results_count\": 100,\n  \"source\": \"manifold\"\n}"
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        "content": "\n\nFound 100 AI markets. Here are some of the most notable ones:\n\n**Capability & Timeline**\n- [Will AI generate a full high-quality movie from a prompt in early 2028?](https://manifold.markets/ScottAlexander/in-2028-will-an-ai-be-able-to-gener) — 33.0% · M$12.2M volume\n- [Will AI surpass human intellect by 2030?](https://manifold.markets/GamerBathGamerGutten/will-ai-surpass-human-intellect-by) — 84...y federal statute or executive order in 2026?](https://manifold.markets/DaftPunkRock/acx-2026-will-the-us-enact-an-ai-sa) — 25.1% · M$7.7K\n- [Binding agreement of acquisition/merger between Apple and AI company before Q3 2026](https://manifold.markets/SirSalty/binding-agreement-of-acquisition-or) — M$126K volume\n\nWant details on any specific market, or should I search for something more narrow?",
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