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        "content": "Search Manifold for AI markets; don't place a bet.",
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        "tool": "search_markets",
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        "tool_result_preview": "{\n  \"markets\": [\n    {\n      \"closeTime\": 1830412740000,\n      \"createdTime\": 1676933242898,\n      \"id\": \"A319ydGB1B7f4PMOROL3\",\n      \"isResolved\": false,\n      \"probability\": 0.3299999999999998,\n      \"question\": \"In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?\",\n      \"url\": \"https://manifold.markets/ScottAlexander/in-2028-will-an-ai-be-able-to-gener\",\n     ...    \"createdTime\": 1776564876031,\n      \"id\": \"gOlddESzER\",\n      \"isResolved\": false,\n      \"probability\": 0.2432609503113512,\n      \"question\": \"Major company suffers serious damage from AI agent in 2026?\",\n      \"url\": \"https://manifold.markets/A/major-company-suffers-serious-damag\",\n      \"volume\": 5448.82845392448\n    }\n  ],\n  \"query\": \"AI\",\n  \"results_count\": 100,\n  \"source\": \"manifold\"\n}"
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        "content": "Here are the top AI markets on Manifold, organized by category:\n\n## AGI & Timeline Predictions\n| Market | Probability | Volume | Closes |\n|--------|-------------|--------|--------|\n| [Will AI surpass human intellect by 2030?](https://manifold.markets/GamerBathGamerGutten/will-ai-surpass-human-intellect-by) | 84.0% | M$17,100 | 2030 |\n| [Will an AI solve any important mathematical conjecture before...company has the best AI model end of June 2026? (LMArena)](https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-tN0h8n0yzQ) | — | M$4,699 | 2026 |\n| [Will OpenAI 'collapse' in the next two years?](https://manifold.markets/ooah0/will-open-ai-collapse-in-the-next-t) | 22.2% | M$125 | 2026 |\n\n---\n\nWant me to get more details on any specific market, or search for a different topic?",
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