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        "content": "Search Manifold for AI markets; don't place a bet.",
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        "tool": "search_markets",
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        "tool_result_preview": "{\n  \"markets\": [\n    {\n      \"closeTime\": 1830412740000,\n      \"createdTime\": 1676933242898,\n      \"id\": \"A319ydGB1B7f4PMOROL3\",\n      \"isResolved\": false,\n      \"probability\": 0.3299999999999998,\n      \"question\": \"In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?\",\n      \"url\": \"https://manifold.markets/ScottAlexander/in-2028-will-an-ai-be-able-to-gener\",\n     ...    \"createdTime\": 1776564876031,\n      \"id\": \"gOlddESzER\",\n      \"isResolved\": false,\n      \"probability\": 0.2432609503113512,\n      \"question\": \"Major company suffers serious damage from AI agent in 2026?\",\n      \"url\": \"https://manifold.markets/A/major-company-suffers-serious-damag\",\n      \"volume\": 5448.82845392448\n    }\n  ],\n  \"query\": \"AI\",\n  \"results_count\": 100,\n  \"source\": \"manifold\"\n}"
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        "content": "Here are the hottest open AI markets on Manifold right now (sorted by score):\n\n- **Will an AI generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt by early 2028?** — 33.0% · M$12,188,058 volume\n  https://manifold.markets/ScottAlexander/in-2028-will-an-ai-be-able-to-gener\n\n- **Perfect score by an AI model in IMO 2026?** — 71.9% · M$188,344\n  https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/perfect-score-achieved-by-an-...nriThunberg/time-100-most-influential-people-in-zCQR90ldQ\n\n- **Net sentiment on AI benefits vs drawbacks in latest 2026 YouGov US poll** (multi) · M$18,209\n  https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/what-will-be-the-net-sentiment-on-a\n\nThere were ~100 results in total. Want me to narrow down by a sub-topic (AGI timelines, IMO/benchmarks, AI bubble, AI policy, etc.) or pull full detail on any of these?",
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